Earlier, I projected the swing against PAP to be 18%. With the recent embarrassing event, i.e. PM Lee suing Leong Sze Hian and asking for the counter suit to be struck off, I have increased the swing to 21%.

This means the popular vote of the PAP to be less than 50%. However, due to the lopsided nature of our constituencies. the PAP will still control the majority of seats in the Parliament.

See the results here. I suggest that you apply the simulation mode. It may take a longer time to show the results but you will remember it better.

https://tklcloud.com/Democracy/show_sim.aspx?id=279

If you wish to make your own projection, you can use this webpage.